I have been looking at the CRS score and its been on the highest threshold for the past 3 years.
As per below:
2019 CRS scores
Lowest min CRS score (excluding specific draws): 438 Highest min CRS score (excluding specific draws): 470
Search:
| Draw | ITA Date | # of issued ITAs | Min CRS points |
|---|---|---|---|
| #128 (FST) | 2019/10/16 | 500 | 357 |
| #127 | 2019/10/02 | 3 900 | 464 |
| #126 | 2019/09/18 | 3 600 | 462 |
| #125 | 2019/09/04 | 3 600 | 463 |
| #124 | 2019/08/20 | 3 600 | 457 |
| #123 | 2019/08/12 | 3 600 | 466 |
| #122 | 2019/07/24 | 3 600 | 459 |
| #121 | 2019/07/10 | 3 600 | 460 |
| #120 | 2019/06/26 | 3 350 | 462 |
| #119 | 2019/06/12 | 3 350 | 465 |
| #118 | 2019/05/29 | 3 350 | 470 |
| #117 (FST) | 2019/05/15 | 500 | 332 |
| #116 | 2019/05/01 | 3 350 | 450 |
| #115 | 2019/04/17 | 3 350 | 451 |
| #114 | 2019/04/03 | 3 350 | 451 |
| #113 | 2019/03/20 | 3 350 | 452 |
| #112 | 2019/03/06 | 3 350 | 454 |
| #111 | 2019/02/20 | 3 350 | 457 |
| #110 | 2019/01/30 | 3 350 | 438 |
| #109 | 2019/01/23 | 3 900 | 443 |
| — | — | — | — |
2018 CRS scores
Lowest min CRS score (excluding specific draws): 439 Highest min CRS score (excluding specific draws): 456
| Draw | ITA Date | # of issued ITAs | Min CRS points |
|---|---|---|---|
| #107 | 2018/12/19 | 3 900 | 439 |
| #106 | 2018/12/12 | 3 900 | 445 |
| #105 | 2018/11/28 | 3 900 | 445 |
| #104 | 2018/11/14 | 3 900 | 449 |
| #103 | 2018/10/29 | 3 900 | 442 |
| #102 | 2018/10/15 | 3 900 | 440 |
| #101 | 2018/10/03 | 3 900 | 445 |
| #100 (FST) | 2018/09/24 | 400 | 284 |
| #099 | 2018/09/19 | 3 500 | 441 |
| #098 | 2018/09/05 | 3 900 | 440 |
However, as per the Canada Immigration Levels Plan for the period 2019-2021, announced on October 31, 2018, the country is planning to increase the number of candidates admitted through Express Entry to around 256,000 over the next three years. At the same time, close to 200,000 candidates will settle in Canada through the Provincial Nominee Programs (PNPs) during this period.
So I am thinking it suppose to come down, to about 435 on average for 2020. I would also say, that if we compare 2018 / 2019 - the main difference an average draw size 3900 (2018) and 3500 (2019) which maintain higher threshold. So, with overall increase, the score will be in range of 4000… and hence the score of 435.
Your thoughts?