It’s a proof i think no words required to explain…
Hahaha…wish DHA could see this…
Visa Grant Delay 189
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that’s something no one else can answer other than the CO himself/herself.
Can we reallly go by “latest lodged” and estimate the trend? Someone can correct me if I’m wrong but I am thinking the COs pick the applications from the population of all pending backlogs, and don’t necessarily filter by lodgement date. If we go by latest lodgement to predict grants, we are implying that all lodgements before 20th March have been assigned COs, which may not be true.
Not all but most of them. yes. Immitracker gives you a graph on how many were lodged in march and how many have been granted and CO contacted. Again the number is mere 3-4% of total actual applications lodged.
Hello,
Is there anyone summarize how many people granted?
Today
Can some one please let me know if we apply for BVB, does it add to any delay in processing of PR application ; lodgement date is March , 20 2019 and BVB is for partner who will be travelling to USA for a week on official office work
I don’t know but in my view, the backlog list is ordered by sequence according to lodged date which is the most logical thing to do. I do not know how they assigned CO but I think most cases leading to the latest grant have been looked at by a case officer. The thing we do not know is how do they processes and prioritize cases that they “flag” as for further assessment due to various reasons. Again, all of these are just my assumptions.
I have actually lodged a Freedom of Information request on how DHA prioritises applications. I am yet to hear back from them.
How did you contact the DHA ? any mail id or phone, please let me know the same. I have lodged on 2019 feb 7th and got co contact to do medicals on 16 may. I responded to CO as soon as i completed the medicals. The status changed to further assesment. But after that no updates or info.
I lodged in Nov 2018 and last contact was 1st May 2019!
Hi guys,i am old follower of this group…i lodged on nov 12,2018 and got three co contacts to submit my qatar pcc.as i was not able to get qatar pcc,as i was working on business visa with the company in qatar .submitted docs for waive off of qatar pcc as requested by case officer on may 2019…still my case is under assesment and my medical and indian pcc has expired on nov 2019…feel like i should not have started this process and wasted my money and time…instead have invested money and time on something worthful…
Any one in the same boat appreciate ur reply!!!
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Hi @Harishan You mentioned that your lodgement date - 20th Mar 2019 & CO asked you to redo medicals today. Did you do your medical before your lodgement date?
1-2 application is based on immitracker. Immitravker has only 3-4 % of data. If you see 1-2 updates in immitracker you can even arrive at a number calculating percentage which would 20-30. Many update their grant status in telegram group, Facebook pages and a few migration agents send it to their telegram group. There are lots.
You need to also look at number of visas applied in 802, 820, 489, 190 and many more. There are total of 160,000 between July 2019-june 2020.
Seems like a deliberate ploy by the DHA to delay issuing grants so that the PCCs and Medicals expire and then they have a reason to further delay the application indefinitely by asking for the new documents, ultimately discouraging other people to apply for 189. The ombudsman and queries to DHA seem to be useless as well. Ultimately it’s the candidate who has to wait forever
i applied on 9th nov 2018
medicals on feb 12th, 2019
CO Contact july 2019, replied within a week
case in further assessment afterwards
then new born baby added in december 2019
HIS Medicals on 2nd January 2020,
REST is with CO now, waiting for our grants.
What visa type have lodged and when?
189, lodged 30th March, still waiting
For those who are interested, here is the details of 189 applications filed and granted in the year 2019 January to 31 October 2019).
Approximately 5% of these numbers are reflecting on immitracker.
I did my own assessment for my 189 application based on these numbers, you can use this data for your application assessment
Applications lodged:
Activity Month Total — 31/01/2019 3,343 28/02/2019 2,411 31/03/2019 2,432 30/04/2019 1,132 31/05/2019 425 30/06/2019 111 31/07/2019 474 31/08/2019 435 30/09/2019 212 31/10/2019 485 189 Skilled - Independent Total 11,460
Skilled Independent (subclass 189) (Points tested stream) visa applications granted from 1 January Activity Month Total 31/01/2019 3,517 28/02/2019 3,657 31/03/2019 4,688 30/04/2019 2,890 31/05/2019 3,037 30/06/2019 2,433 31/07/2019 1,363 31/08/2019 230 30/09/2019 79 31/10/2019 84 189 Skilled - Independent Total 21,978 Note 1: Includes primary and secondary applicants
Folks, can we please align on one fact: all these estimates and trends are of no use to predict grants.
According to the trends, all the cases up to at least February 2019 should have been granted or gotten CO contacts. Unfortunately, that is not the case. There are numerous cases pending since October 2018. Yes, majority of the Nov 18 and Dec 18 cases have got CO contacts, but despite submission of requisite documents, still waiting for more than 8 months. I don’t think the most complex of cases take that much time to look into.
As for the lodgements post Feb 19, very few of them have got CO contacts and grants, while a majority of them are pending.
All these cases I am talking about are from Immitracker, representing 5% of overall applications.
Looking at the data of past lodgements from DHA that has been shared in previous posts, even if we extrapolate the Immitracker number, we are looking at a huge backlog.
Some folks are enthusiastically exulting looking at few grants here and there. All this serves to only give false hope to applicants.
Conclusively, it seems that we are staring down the barrel. We are looking at indefinite wait times and grants which may never come; and even if they do, at a time when it will no more matter to us.
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