How are the CRS prediction scores developed?

#1
Is the methodology shown anywhere? Thanks
#2
Do you mean the score-predictor report? This one:https://myimmitracker.com/en/ca/trackers/express-entry-tracker-crs/analytics/crs-score ? If yes, then no - this is sort our own methodology, it takes into account an average scores from the past draws + breakdown in the pool as of end of the year report + the scores which we have in the tracker. As the one who can created it, i am not 100% confident in the accuracy of the prediction, however, as you can see on the past results it does sort of points into the right direction.
#3
Where is the end of year report? I only found an end of 2015 report. I did not see a 2016 report everywhere.
#4
Yes, that was the one I meant. Since the draws have averaged at least 3500 ITAs lately, how does that impact your prediction?
#5
I can test for 3,5k ITAs and see what we get. Will update here.
#6
Linear regression on data from Dec until today indicates that the greatest impact comes from number of ITAs. Depending on how you estimate, 172,500/ approx 2 per ITA / 26 draws per year = avg ITA of 3300. size score linear estimate 1,936 497 500 2,878 475 470 2,902 468 469 3,334 459 455 3,508 453 450 3,664 447 445 3,611 441 446 3,884 434 438 3,749 441 442 I tried a few different sets of variables, and number of ITAs is pretty close.