Chances of Offshore 189 Invitation

Hi

I would like to ask what are the chances of 189 offshore invitations after new federal budget and rules.

I have heard only onshore will be given priority

I think they will issue offshore invites as well in case if there is no onshore applicant at that points level. 1/3 is for offshore applicants. Picture will be much clearer in December or January.

why clear in december? We can get an idea during Oct and Nov Invitations?

By then we will be able to see 4 invitation rounds so can have an idea what is going on.